Portfolio Manager – Prediction Markets

🕒 Julho 27

🌐 México, Austrália, +4 outros países – Remoto

🇲🇽 México – Remoto 🇦🇺 Austrália – Remoto 🇺🇸 Estados Unidos – Remoto (EUA) 🇩🇪 Alemanha – Remoto 🇸🇬 Singapura – Remoto 🇬🇧 Reino Unido – Remoto (RU)

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Moreton Capital Partners

SiteLinkedInTodas as Vagas

2 - 10 funcionários

💸 Finanças

🤖 Inteligência Artificial

Finance • Artificial Intelligence

A Moreton Capital Partners é uma gestora de investimentos sistemáticos em commodities que integra IA agente, grandes modelos de linguagem e aprendizado de máquina avançado com pesquisa quantitativa aprofundada, expertise em negociação fundamental e gestão de risco de nível institucional para capturar ineficiências nos mercados globais de energia, metais e agrícolas. A empresa opera uma estratégia neutra ao mercado e orientada por hipóteses, refinada ao longo de oito anos, com rebalanceamento semanal, análises conduzidas por ML para monitoramento de risco de fatores e regimes, com foco na construção de portfólio interpretável e reduções limitadas. A liderança combina experiência em negociação de commodities físicas e agronomia com gestão de investimentos institucionais e escalabilidade operacional; os produtos incluem classes de ações master-feeder em Cayman e contas geridas separadamente.

Descrição

• Own the prediction markets P&L. Set strategy, manage risk limits, oversee position sizing, and ensure the portfolio operates within defined drawdown and exposure parameters at all times across all traders. • Lead the full investment process: idea generation, model validation, live execution, post-trade analysis, and systematic improvement cycles. • Build and manage a team of traders and analysts. Set research priorities, review work rigorously, and develop talent. • Define and evolve MCP's edge across strategy types: market making, cross-platform arbitrage, event-driven momentum, statistical modelling on correlated contracts, and alternative data signal development. • Work with engineering to spec and prioritise infrastructure: execution systems, data pipelines, monitoring tools, and low-latency order management. • Contribute to investor reporting and, where relevant, capital raising — articulating the strategy's edge, risk profile, and performance clearly to institutional audiences.

🎯 Requisitos

• Significant experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with genuine P&L accountability — not just advisory or model-development roles. • Demonstrated edge in prediction markets, binary event trading, options, or closely related event-resolution domains. • Strong quantitative foundation: probability, Bayesian inference, statistical modelling, and portfolio construction. • Experience managing or mentoring junior trading professionals. • Clear, substantive engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem — platforms, mechanics, recent resolutions, structural inefficiencies. We will probe this in depth. • Undergraduate or postgraduate qualification in a quantitative discipline. • Bonus Points For • Experience operating on Polymarket, Kalshi, or equivalent platforms at meaningful scale. • Background in systematic commodity, macro, or multi-asset trading — our core competency and an area of genuine cross-pollination with prediction markets. • Familiarity with the analytics and data ecosystems around professional sports and major real-world event categories (politics, macroeconomics, climate). • Experience with blockchain/DeFi infrastructure relevant to on-chain prediction market platforms. • Prior involvement in fund-level processes: investor relations, risk reporting, or strategy documentation.

🏖️ Benefícios

• Competitive base salary, meaningful performance-linked upside, and participation in MCP's broader success. Structure and quantum discussed at the offer stage with the right candidate.