
Artificial Intelligence • Science • Social Impact
Metaculus is a platform that provides trustworthy forecasting and modeling infrastructure for forecasters, decision-makers, and the public. It creates forecasts in key areas such as biosecurity, AI progress, nuclear security, and climate change, aiming to improve research, decision-making, and policy. Metaculus offers forecasting tournaments where participants can predict real-world events and win prizes. It engages in collaborations with non-profits and other organizations to enhance forecasting capabilities and contributes to understanding complex global challenges.
11 - 50 employees
Founded 2015
🤖 Artificial Intelligence
🔬 Science
🌍 Social Impact
October 12

Artificial Intelligence • Science • Social Impact
Metaculus is a platform that provides trustworthy forecasting and modeling infrastructure for forecasters, decision-makers, and the public. It creates forecasts in key areas such as biosecurity, AI progress, nuclear security, and climate change, aiming to improve research, decision-making, and policy. Metaculus offers forecasting tournaments where participants can predict real-world events and win prizes. It engages in collaborations with non-profits and other organizations to enhance forecasting capabilities and contributes to understanding complex global challenges.
11 - 50 employees
Founded 2015
🤖 Artificial Intelligence
🔬 Science
🌍 Social Impact
• Lead product development for our **AI Benchmark** - a quarterly tournament with $50K prizes plus a base model leaderboard, aiming to become the premier forecasting benchmark • Build **AI Forecasting/Sensemaking as a Service** - using AI to scale forecasting • Push Metaculus to be *the* destination for AI forecasting measurement, commissioning, delivery, and use • Work closely with bizdev on client relationships and services delivery • Collaborate with marketing on positioning and go-to-market strategies • Partner with engineering and design on technical architecture and user experience
• 4+ years product management experience • Experience with data/analytics tools or enterprise SaaS preferred • Experience with world or systems modeling preferred • Track record of shipping products that users love • **Skills:** • Product marketing sensibility • Comfort working with teammates across: engineering, design, bizdev, marketing, R&D • Web analytics and data analysis • Market and user research • **Bonus:** • Familiarity with forecasting or prediction markets • Statistics or quantitative background
• - Annual salary range of $100,000 - $150,000 USD, depending on experience. • - We reimburse employees for health insurance costs, depending on country. In the US, we reimburse up to the legal maximum under a QSEHRA plan. • - In the US, we offer a 401k plan for employees. • - We provide generous parental leave; at a minimum (though it depends on jurisdiction) 14 weeks of paid leave for birthing parents and 6 weeks of paid leave for non-birthing parents. • - We encourage our employees to meaningfully engage with and attend technical conferences and community events. • - We offer travel opportunities for regular in-person working sessions and team retreats in the US and Europe.
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