Senior Manager, Forecasting & Analytics

🕒 Junho 1

🏄 California, New York – Remoto

🏄 California – Remote 🗽 New York – Remote

💵 $140.000 - $160.000 / ano

⏰ Tempo Integral

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👔 Gerente

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Aura Home, Inc.

SiteLinkedInTodas as Vagas

51 - 200 funcionários

🛒 Varejo

🛍️ Comércio Eletrônico

Retail • eCommerce

A Aura Home, Inc. é uma empresa especializada na venda de porta-retratos digitais conectados à WiFi e com design requintado. Seus porta-retratos são conhecidos pelas telas de alta definição, facilidade de uso e capacidade de armazenar e exibir fotos e vídeos ilimitados, permitindo que os usuários revivam memórias preciosas. A Aura enfatiza a facilidade de compartilhamento de fotos por meio de seu aplicativo, possibilitando que amigos e familiares adicionem fotos de qualquer lugar. Com foco em criar conexões significativas e preservar memórias, a Aura Home promove seus produtos como presentes ideais para entes queridos. A empresa também utiliza cookies em seu site para aprimorar a experiência do usuário e mensurar a eficácia de suas campanhas publicitárias.

Descrição

• Own the creation and continuous management of rolling revenue forecasts at the SKU/channel/geography level for Aura's product portfolio across all sales channels by utilizing SQL-based data and BI tools and statistical analytics • Re-forecast on a weekly cadence (and daily during peak, promotional, and product launch windows) based on POS, sell-through, cross-channel marketing performance data and metrics, and inventory positions • Lead Aura's demand planning operations, facilitating and leading regular cross-functional planning meetings that align Sales, Marketing, Product, Operations, and Finance on a unified demand and supply plan • Review and validate sales forecasts in collaboration with Sales, Marketing, and Product teams, ensuring alignment with product launches, promotional calendars, and market trends • Track forecast accuracy metrics (MAPE, bias, WAPE) at the SKU/channel/week grain, set internal accuracy targets, and continuously refine forecasting methodologies to improve performance • Utilize statistical forecasting techniques to generate baseline forecasts and identify opportunities for model enhancement • Champion process improvements and automation to drive efficiency in demand planning workflows • Prepare executive-ready presentations explaining demand forecasts, variances, and recommendations and provide regular demand planning updates to the CRO and Revenue Leadership team • Proactively identify SKU/channel stockout and overstock risks using weeks-of-supply analysis, and recommend corrective actions before they affect availability or working capital

🎯 Requisitos

• Bachelor's degree in Business, Supply Chain Management, Statistics, Economics, Data Science, or related field • 7+ years of experience in demand planning, forecasting, S&OP, or business analytics in consumer electronics, consumer goods • Demonstrated ownership of an end-to-end revenue forecast across multiple channels, with a track record of measurable forecast accuracy improvement • International/multi-market demand planning experience • Expert-level proficiency in Excel or Google Sheets (advanced functions, pivot tables, data modeling, large dataset manipulation) • Working proficiency in SQL — comfortable querying source systems and BI tools (Metabase, Looker, Snowflake, BigQuery, or similar) without depending on an analyst • Experience working with large datasets and translating data insights into actionable business recommendations • Demonstrated ability to collaborate effectively across functions and influence without direct authority, including presenting to executive leadership • Strong analytical mindset with attention to detail and ability to balance data-driven insights with business judgment • Excellent communication skills with ability to present complex analyses clearly to both technical and non-technical audiences • Proactive problem-solver with a continuous improvement mindset • Ability to thrive in a fast-paced, entrepreneurial environment with shifting priorities

🏖️ Benefícios

• Generous stock option program - begins vesting after 1 year • Comprehensive health plans - Aura pays 100% of the premium for employees and 50% for families. • 401(k) with match - Aura fully matches the first 4% of your salary contributed • Lunch and snacks - In SF & NY Offices • $150 monthly fitness allowance - gym, coaching, etc • Flexible time off - and you’re required to take at least 10 days off each year