Local Political Expert – Elections Forecasting, Political Risk

🔥 1 minute ago

🌐 United States, Canada – Remote

🇺🇸 United States – Remote 🇨🇦 Canada – Remote

🌾 Iowa – Remote

🌾 Iowa – Remote

💵 $100 - $200 / hour

⏳ Contract/Temporary

🟠 Senior

🔴 Lead

🎲 Risk

👻 Ghost score 10%

What it means: how likely this posting is sitting open without active hiring.How to read it: 60% or higher means we think this is a ghost. Lower scores are less of a worry.How we score it: age, reposts, open roles vs team size, how fast jobs close, and whether pay is listed.Fine print: an estimate from public data, not a judgment of the company. Real jobs can score high, so treat it as a hint, not a fact.

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Mercor

WebsiteLinkedInAll Job Openings

51 - 200 employees

Founded 2023

🔥 Funding within the last year

💰 $350M Series C - Mercor on 2025-10

Mercor is a company for which no descriptive text was provided in the input. Additional information (products, services, target customers, or industry specifics) is needed to create an accurate summary and select appropriate industries.

📋 Description

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff • Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event’s expected political and market impact • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against an independent expert standard • Contribute expert-authored forecasting and research data used to evaluate and improve AI models • Complete projects according to changing business needs and performance expectations

🎯 Requirements

• Hands-on experience on specific races in U.S. swing states, including current or upcoming Senate, governor, or statewide contests, or recent cycles in the same state • On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political environment • Experience as a university political scientist, state or regional pollster, state-level campaign or party analytics staff member, or state political-risk analyst • Record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in relevant races; retrospective commentary alone is insufficient • Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis • Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance • Applicants should have worked on a current or recent U.S. race in the state they would cover • Point-in-time reasoning without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information • Must be able to work as an independent contractor • H1-B and STEM OPT candidates are not supported • Ability to cover Iowa; location requirements include Canada or the USA

🏖️ Benefits

• Fully remote role • Flexible schedule; work can be completed on your own schedule • Weekly payments via Stripe or Wise based on services rendered • Projects may be extended, shortened, or concluded early depending on needs and performance • Competitive pay • Collaboration with leading researchers • Work on projects training and enhancing AI systems • Reasonable accommodations available upon request • Up to $1,000 referral payment for each successful referral, subject to referral limits