Local Political Expert – Elections Forecasting, Political Risk

🕒 Yesterday

🌐 United States, Canada – Remote

🇺🇸 United States – Remote 🇨🇦 Canada – Remote

🌾 Iowa – Remote

🌾 Iowa – Remote

💵 $100 - $200 / hour

⏳ Contract/Temporary

🟠 Senior

🔴 Lead

🎲 Risk

👻 Ghost score 10%

What it means: how likely this posting is sitting open without active hiring.How to read it: 60% or higher means we think this is a ghost. Lower scores are less of a worry.How we score it: age, reposts, open roles vs team size, how fast jobs close, and whether pay is listed.Fine print: an estimate from public data, not a judgment of the company. Real jobs can score high, so treat it as a hint, not a fact.

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Mercor

WebsiteLinkedInAll Job Openings

51 - 200 employees

Founded 2023

🔥 Funding within the last year

💰 $350M Series C - Mercor on 2025-10

Mercor is a company for which no descriptive text was provided in the input. Additional information (products, services, target customers, or industry specifics) is needed to create an accurate summary and select appropriate industries.

📋 Description

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff • Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event's expected political and market impact • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against a personal expert standard • Produce expert-authored forecasting and research data for evaluating and improving AI models on political and financial analysis

🎯 Requirements

• Hands-on experience on specific races in Iowa, including current or upcoming Senate, governor, or statewide contests, or recent cycles in the same state • On-the-ground knowledge of the electorate, candidates, and local political environment • Experience as a university political scientist, state or regional pollster, state-level campaign or party analytics staff member, or state political-risk analyst • Record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds in relevant races, not retrospective commentary • Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis • Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance • Experience with current or recent US races in the state covered • Ability to reason from a stated evidence cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information • Must not be an H1-B or STEM OPT candidate

🏖️ Benefits

• Fully remote role • Flexible own schedule • Projects may be extended, shortened, or concluded early depending on needs and performance • Weekly payments via Stripe or Wise based on services rendered • Competitive pay • Collaboration with leading researchers • Opportunity to help shape next-generation AI systems • Reasonable accommodations upon request