Political Expert – Elections Forecasting, Political Risk

Job not on LinkedIn

🔥 6 minutes ago

🇺🇸 United States – Remote

💵 $150 - $250 / hour

⏱ Part Time

🟠 Senior

🔴 Lead

🎲 Risk

👻 Ghost score 20%

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Logo of Weekday (YC W21)

Weekday (YC W21)

11 - 50 employees

Founded 2021

💼 Consulting

👥 HR Tech

☁️ SaaS

Consulting • HR Tech • SaaS

Weekday is a modern recruitment platform that combines AI technologies with a vast database of potential candidates, aiming to streamline the hiring process for companies in India. They offer various services, including a proactive outreach approach that helps employers connect with top talent, as well as tools for candidates to easily apply for jobs. Weekday's emphasis on candidate engagement through multiple channels, including email, WhatsApp, and phone calls, sets it apart in the competitive landscape of recruitment agencies.

📋 Description

• Author point-in-time political reports and forecasts from a stated evidence cutoff • Make and document directional judgments about polling, win probabilities, and market-implied odds • Explain the causal mechanism behind an event’s expected political and market impact • Review model-generated analyses and grade them against an expert standard

🎯 Requirements

• Senior elections forecaster, campaign strategist, polling or statistical-methodology expert, or political-risk analyst • Record of making live judgments about polling, win probabilities, or odds—not retrospective commentary • Strong polling literacy and causal event analysis • Typically 8+ years of direct experience, or unusually strong evidence of equivalent performance • Direct experience and performance on the work sample determine qualification; brand-name experience is not a hard requirement • Must reason from the stated evidence cutoff without hindsight, data leakage, confidential information, or material non-public information

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