Portfolio Manager – Prediction Markets

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🌐 Mexico, Australia, +4 more countries – Remote

🇲🇽 Mexico – Remote 🇦🇺 Australia – Remote 🇺🇸 United States – Remote 🇩🇪 Germany – Remote 🇸🇬 Singapore – Remote 🇬🇧 United Kingdom – Remote

⏰ Full Time

🟡 Mid-level

🟠 Senior

👔 Manager

👻 Ghost score 17%

What it means: how likely this posting is sitting open without active hiring.How to read it: 60% or higher means we think this is a ghost. Lower scores are less of a worry.How we score it: age, reposts, open roles vs team size, how fast jobs close, and whether pay is listed.Fine print: an estimate from public data, not a judgment of the company. Real jobs can score high, so treat it as a hint, not a fact.

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Moreton Capital Partners

WebsiteLinkedInAll Job Openings

2 - 10 employees

💸 Finance

🤖 Artificial Intelligence

Finance • Artificial Intelligence

Moreton Capital Partners is a systematic commodities investment manager that integrates agentic AI, large language models, and advanced machine learning with deep quantitative research, fundamental trading expertise, and institutional-grade risk management to capture inefficiencies across global energy, metals, and agricultural markets. The firm runs a market‑neutral, hypothesis‑driven strategy refined over eight years, with weekly rebalancing, ML-driven analytics for factor and regime risk monitoring, and a focus on interpretable portfolio construction and limited drawdowns. Leadership combines physical commodity trading and agronomy expertise with institutional investment management and operational scalability; products include Cayman master‑feeder share classes and separately managed accounts.

📋 Description

• Own the prediction markets P&L • Set strategy, manage risk limits, oversee position sizing, and ensure portfolio compliance with drawdown and exposure parameters across all traders • Lead idea generation, model validation, live execution, post-trade analysis, and systematic improvement cycles • Build and manage a team of traders and analysts • Set research priorities, review work rigorously, and develop talent • Define and evolve MCP's edge across market making, cross-platform arbitrage, event-driven momentum, statistical modelling on correlated contracts, and alternative data signal development • Work with engineering to specify and prioritize execution systems, data pipelines, monitoring tools, and low-latency order management infrastructure • Contribute to investor reporting and, where relevant, capital raising • Clearly articulate the strategy's edge, risk profile, and performance to institutional audiences

🎯 Requirements

• Significant experience managing a live quantitative or event-driven trading portfolio with genuine P&L accountability — not just advisory or model-development roles • Demonstrated edge in prediction markets, binary event trading, options, or closely related event-resolution domains • Strong quantitative foundation: probability, Bayesian inference, statistical modelling, and portfolio construction • Experience managing or mentoring junior trading professionals • Clear, substantive engagement with the prediction markets ecosystem — platforms, mechanics, recent resolutions, structural inefficiencies • Undergraduate or postgraduate qualification in a quantitative discipline • Experience operating on Polymarket, Kalshi, or equivalent platforms at meaningful scale • Background in systematic commodity, macro, or multi-asset trading • Familiarity with analytics and data ecosystems around professional sports and major real-world event categories (politics, macroeconomics, climate) • Experience with blockchain/DeFi infrastructure relevant to on-chain prediction market platforms • Prior involvement in fund-level processes: investor relations, risk reporting, or strategy documentation

🏖️ Benefits

• Competitive base salary • Meaningful performance-linked upside • Participation in MCP's broader success • Compensation structure and quantum discussed at the offer stage with the right candidate