Lead Forecaster – Self Sufficiency, Aging, and People with Disabilities

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🔥 0 minutes ago

🌲 Oregon – Remote

🌲 Oregon – Remote

💵 $7.9k - $11.7k / month

⏰ Full Time

🟠 Senior

👥 People Operations

👻 Ghost score 0%

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Oregon Department of Human Services

WebsiteLinkedInAll Job Openings

10,000+ employees

🏥 Healthcare

💼 Consulting

🍽️ Food & Beverage

Healthcare • Consulting • Food & Beverage

Oregon Department of Human Services is a government agency in the state of Oregon that provides various social services and support to individuals, families, and communities. The department focuses on health and safety, offering assistance programs such as child welfare, self-sufficiency resources, and care for the elderly and disabled. With a commitment to enhancing the well-being of Oregon residents, the department works closely with other state agencies and community partners to address the diverse needs of the population.

📋 Description

• Develop statewide caseload projections for major programs administered by the Department of Human Services • Develop and modify complex statistical models incorporating economic and demographic variables influencing participation in means-tested programs • Explain forecast methodologies and policy issues to executive leadership, program leadership, budget staff, financial office and legislative staff, legislators, media, and the public • Analyze and validate complex datasets • Evaluate data quality and reliability and identify trends and anomalies • Analyze the effects of legislation, policy changes, program design, economic conditions, demographic shifts, and other external factors on caseloads and service demand • Exercise independent analytical judgment and develop evidence-based solutions • Communicate and collaborate with ODHS and OHA staff, executives, budget and policy staff, legislative and Governor's Office staff, and other partners • Present complex or sensitive forecasting, policy, and fiscal information to technical and non-technical audiences • Meet established forecasting and reporting deadlines

🎯 Requirements

• Master's degree in economics or a related field, including applied social or biological sciences, and four years of experience doing predictive analytics, forecasting, and related social science research; OR Ph.D. in economics or a related field, including applied social or biological sciences, and one year of experience doing predictive analytics, forecasting, and related social science research • Demonstrated experience developing, validating, and refining complex forecasts, projections, statistical models, or other quantitative methodologies • Experience analyzing complex datasets, evaluating data quality and reliability, identifying trends and anomalies, and supporting accurate and defensible conclusions • Experience analyzing legislation, policy changes, program design, economic conditions, demographic shifts, and other factors influencing caseloads, program participation, or service demand • Ability to translate complex data, statistical methodologies, forecasts, and projections for non-technical audiences • Independent professional judgment and problem-solving ability • Experience with data analytics, especially relational databases and/or administrative data • Cover letter and resume required • Detailed work and education history required • Ability to work independently with minimal supervision, manage competing priorities, and meet forecasting and reporting deadlines • Ability to complete a criminal history and background check • Authorization to work in the United States; ODHS does not offer visa sponsorship • Occasional evening and weekend work may be required

🏖️ Benefits

• Cost of Living Adjustments • Annual salary increases until reaching the top of the listed salary range • Amazing benefits package • Possible eligibility for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness Program • ODHS Employee Resource Group communities that promote shared learning • Veteran and Oregon National Guard candidate preference • 5 percent preference points for eligible applicants whose primary residence is in Malheur County